Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009880 0.011901 0.014422 0.017872 0.022593 0.029025 0.038831
2024-10-20 0.007317 0.009549 0.012690 0.017666 0.025853 0.039916 0.069226
2024-10-27 0.006286 0.008674 0.012341 0.018845 0.031348 0.058100 0.137440
2024-11-03 0.005664 0.008171 0.012301 0.020378 0.038321 0.086589 0.311547
2024-11-10 0.005213 0.007803 0.012338 0.022015 0.046730 0.131990 0.892872
2024-11-17 0.004669 0.007163 0.011710 0.022027 0.051263 0.175483 2.588422
2024-11-24 0.004200 0.006566 0.011023 0.021649 0.054545 0.224596 10.832452
2024-12-01 0.003705 0.005852 0.009966 0.020050 0.052888 0.244598 42.787548
2024-12-08 0.003346 0.005343 0.009241 0.019081 0.052979 0.281607 4970.820816
2024-12-15 0.003114 0.005041 0.008894 0.019007 0.056596 0.370486 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002958 0.004864 0.008782 0.019544 0.063456 0.557175 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002791 0.004646 0.008543 0.019644 0.068631 0.803716 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002538 0.004256 0.007911 0.018562 0.067939 0.978158 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002362 0.004007 0.007575 0.018349 0.072475 1.540607 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002284 0.003944 0.007669 0.019593 0.088620 4.799427 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002225 0.003916 0.007838 0.021213 0.112424 47.239708 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002171 0.003888 0.008004 0.022947 0.144580 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002058 0.003719 0.007769 0.022959 0.159561 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001943 0.003535 0.007463 0.022558 0.169217 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001799 0.003272 0.006906 0.020866 0.156317 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001687 0.003075 0.006515 0.019842 0.152754 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001614 0.002961 0.006341 0.019764 0.165283 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001565 0.002898 0.006303 0.020331 0.193359 NaN NaN